**Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological services point to a September 10 minimum in Wuhan near 19°C (66°F), driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies following a recent cooling trend.** This setup, with daytime highs around 27–28°C, supports market-implied odds clustering around 18–19°C outcomes, though the 38% probability on 16°C or below reflects residual uncertainty from model spread in overnight radiative cooling and exact wind speeds. Historical September minima average near 20–22°C, but the current northerly steering pattern and low precipitation risk differentiate this event. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and next model runs will likely refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wuhan am 10. September?
16°C oder darunter 81%
26°C oder höher 44%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
16°C oder darunter
81%
17°C
21%
18°C
24%
19°C
31%
20°C
24%
21°C
21%
22°C
21%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C oder höher
44%
16°C oder darunter 81%
26°C oder höher 44%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
16°C oder darunter
81%
17°C
21%
18°C
24%
19°C
31%
20°C
24%
21°C
21%
22°C
21%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C oder höher
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological services point to a September 10 minimum in Wuhan near 19°C (66°F), driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies following a recent cooling trend.** This setup, with daytime highs around 27–28°C, supports market-implied odds clustering around 18–19°C outcomes, though the 38% probability on 16°C or below reflects residual uncertainty from model spread in overnight radiative cooling and exact wind speeds. Historical September minima average near 20–22°C, but the current northerly steering pattern and low precipitation risk differentiate this event. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and next model runs will likely refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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