Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central China are supporting radiative cooling overnight in Wuhan, with light northerly winds and moderate humidity around 45-60% limiting heat retention. Official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily low near 21-23°C, yet trader positioning favors 15-18°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in local microclimate effects, urban heat island variations, and potential model underestimation of nocturnal temperature drops in the Yangtze River valley during early September. Historical September lows average near 19°C, but the tight spread among 15-18°C probabilities highlights sensitivity to small shifts in dew point or wind patterns before resolution. Updated observational data from overnight stations will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wuhan am 12. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Wuhan am 12. September?
14°C oder weniger 94%
15°C 93%
16°C 93%
17°C 93%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
14°C oder weniger
94%
15°C
93%
16°C
93%
17°C
93%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
14°C oder weniger 94%
15°C 93%
16°C 93%
17°C 93%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
14°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
94%
15°C
$0 Vol.
93%
16°C
$0 Vol.
93%
17°C
$39 Vol.
93%
18°C
$206 Vol.
-
19°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,674 Vol.
<1%
24°C oder höher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central China are supporting radiative cooling overnight in Wuhan, with light northerly winds and moderate humidity around 45-60% limiting heat retention. Official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily low near 21-23°C, yet trader positioning favors 15-18°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in local microclimate effects, urban heat island variations, and potential model underestimation of nocturnal temperature drops in the Yangtze River valley during early September. Historical September lows average near 19°C, but the tight spread among 15-18°C probabilities highlights sensitivity to small shifts in dew point or wind patterns before resolution. Updated observational data from overnight stations will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$2,721Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central China are supporting radiative cooling overnight in Wuhan, with light northerly winds and moderate humidity around 45-60% limiting heat retention. Official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily low near 21-23°C, yet trader positioning favors 15-18°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in local microclimate effects, urban heat island variations, and potential model underestimation of nocturnal temperature drops in the Yangtze River valley during early September. Historical September lows average near 19°C, but the tight spread among 15-18°C probabilities highlights sensitivity to small shifts in dew point or wind patterns before resolution. Updated observational data from overnight stations will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,721Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central China are supporting radiative cooling overnight in Wuhan, with light northerly winds and moderate humidity around 45-60% limiting heat retention. Official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily low near 21-23°C, yet trader positioning favors 15-18°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in local microclimate effects, urban heat island variations, and potential model underestimation of nocturnal temperature drops in the Yangtze River valley during early September. Historical September lows average near 19°C, but the tight spread among 15-18°C probabilities highlights sensitivity to small shifts in dew point or wind patterns before resolution. Updated observational data from overnight stations will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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