**Trader consensus heavily favors a lowest temperature of 25°C or higher (97.5% implied probability) for Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight lows of 25–28°C.** Multiple meteorological sources, including China-focused models and international services, project minimums around 25–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions: high humidity, partial cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows near 22–23°C, but current steering patterns and warm air advection have kept readings elevated. The dominant positioning reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of these stable inputs. Only an unanticipated sharp cold surge or major model revision could realistically push the official station reading below 25°C, an outcome current guidance assigns low likelihood.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 25. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 25. August?
25°C oder höher 100%
15°C oder niedriger <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$3,077 Vol.
$3,077 Vol.
25. Aug. 2026
15°C oder niedriger
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C oder höher
Ja
25°C oder höher 100%
15°C oder niedriger <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$3,077 Vol.
$3,077 Vol.
25. Aug. 2026
15°C oder niedriger
$224 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$417 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$224 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$182 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$224 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$337 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$224 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$217 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$530 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$160 Vol.
Nein
25°C oder höher
$339 Vol.
Ja
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a lowest temperature of 25°C or higher (97.5% implied probability) for Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight lows of 25–28°C.**
Multiple meteorological sources, including China-focused models and international services, project minimums around 25–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions: high humidity, partial cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows near 22–23°C, but current steering patterns and warm air advection have kept readings elevated.
The dominant positioning reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of these stable inputs. Only an unanticipated sharp cold surge or major model revision could realistically push the official station reading below 25°C, an outcome current guidance assigns low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$3,077Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a lowest temperature of 25°C or higher (97.5% implied probability) for Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight lows of 25–28°C.**
Multiple meteorological sources, including China-focused models and international services, project minimums around 25–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions: high humidity, partial cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows near 22–23°C, but current steering patterns and warm air advection have kept readings elevated.
The dominant positioning reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of these stable inputs. Only an unanticipated sharp cold surge or major model revision could realistically push the official station reading below 25°C, an outcome current guidance assigns low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,077Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Trader consensus heavily favors a lowest temperature of 25°C or higher (97.5% implied probability) for Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight lows of 25–28°C.** Multiple meteorological sources, including China-focused models and international services, project minimums around 25–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions: high humidity, partial cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows near 22–23°C, but current steering patterns and warm air advection have kept readings elevated. The dominant positioning reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of these stable inputs. Only an unanticipated sharp cold surge or major model revision could realistically push the official station reading below 25°C, an outcome current guidance assigns low likelihood.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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