NY-13 remains a heavily Democratic district based on consistent past election results and voter demographics in urban New York City areas. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 95% implied probability of winning the seat, reflecting the party's structural advantages in registration, turnout patterns, and historical margins that have exceeded 30 points in recent cycles. No major candidate announcements, redistricting changes, or campaign developments have altered this positioning in the past month. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national shift favoring the party or a significant local disruption, such as an incumbent withdrawal or major scandal, neither of which appears imminent based on current conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-13 Wahlsieger
NY-13 Wahlsieger
$33,272 Vol.
$33,272 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
5%
$33,272 Vol.
$33,272 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$21,230 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$12,042 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-13 remains a heavily Democratic district based on consistent past election results and voter demographics in urban New York City areas. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 95% implied probability of winning the seat, reflecting the party's structural advantages in registration, turnout patterns, and historical margins that have exceeded 30 points in recent cycles. No major candidate announcements, redistricting changes, or campaign developments have altered this positioning in the past month. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national shift favoring the party or a significant local disruption, such as an incumbent withdrawal or major scandal, neither of which appears imminent based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$33,272Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-13 remains a heavily Democratic district based on consistent past election results and voter demographics in urban New York City areas. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 95% implied probability of winning the seat, reflecting the party's structural advantages in registration, turnout patterns, and historical margins that have exceeded 30 points in recent cycles. No major candidate announcements, redistricting changes, or campaign developments have altered this positioning in the past month. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national shift favoring the party or a significant local disruption, such as an incumbent withdrawal or major scandal, neither of which appears imminent based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$33,272Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-13 remains a heavily Democratic district based on consistent past election results and voter demographics in urban New York City areas. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 95% implied probability of winning the seat, reflecting the party's structural advantages in registration, turnout patterns, and historical margins that have exceeded 30 points in recent cycles. No major candidate announcements, redistricting changes, or campaign developments have altered this positioning in the past month. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national shift favoring the party or a significant local disruption, such as an incumbent withdrawal or major scandal, neither of which appears imminent based on current conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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