Skip to main content
Market icon

Precipitation in Seattle in April?

Market icon

Precipitation in Seattle in April?

Apr. 30

Apr. 30

3-3.5" 47%

3.5-4" 18.7%

2.5-3" 12%

<2.5" 8%

Polymarket

$44,083 Vol.

3-3.5" 47%

3.5-4" 18.7%

2.5-3" 12%

<2.5" 8%

Polymarket

$44,083 Vol.

<2.5"

$12,451 Vol.

8%

2.5-3"

$8,405 Vol.

12%

3-3.5"

$18,783 Vol.

47%

3.5-4"

$1,171 Vol.

19%

4-4.5"

$1,174 Vol.

2%

4.5-5"

$1,129 Vol.

2%

>5"

$970 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 3-3.5 inches of total April precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) at 46.5% implied probability, driven by a recent surge of 1.06 inches on April 14 that elevated the month-to-date total to 1.86 inches through that date—above the 1991-2020 normal of 1.64 inches—following a mostly dry early month save for 0.69 inches on April 1. National Weather Service observations confirm this wetter-than-expected start, but Climate Prediction Center outlooks point to drier-than-normal conditions for the remainder due to ridging over the western U.S. suppressing Pacific storm tracks, aligning with historical April averages near 2.9 inches amid inherent forecast uncertainty. Key upcoming updates include NOAA 6-10 day precipitation outlooks and model ensembles through April 30 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$44,083
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 3-3.5 inches of total April precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) at 46.5% implied probability, driven by a recent surge of 1.06 inches on April 14 that elevated the month-to-date total to 1.86 inches through that date—above the 1991-2020 normal of 1.64 inches—following a mostly dry early month save for 0.69 inches on April 1. National Weather Service observations confirm this wetter-than-expected start, but Climate Prediction Center outlooks point to drier-than-normal conditions for the remainder due to ridging over the western U.S. suppressing Pacific storm tracks, aligning with historical April averages near 2.9 inches amid inherent forecast uncertainty. Key upcoming updates include NOAA 6-10 day precipitation outlooks and model ensembles through April 30 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$44,083
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Precipitation in Seattle in April?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „3-3.5"" mit 47%, gefolgt von „3.5-4"" mit 19%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 47¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 47% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Precipitation in Seattle in April?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $44.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 24, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Precipitation in Seattle in April?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Precipitation in Seattle in April?" ist „3-3.5"" mit 47%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 47% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „3.5-4"" mit 19%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Precipitation in Seattle in April?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.