Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 3-3.5 inches of total April precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) at 46.5% implied probability, driven by a recent surge of 1.06 inches on April 14 that elevated the month-to-date total to 1.86 inches through that date—above the 1991-2020 normal of 1.64 inches—following a mostly dry early month save for 0.69 inches on April 1. National Weather Service observations confirm this wetter-than-expected start, but Climate Prediction Center outlooks point to drier-than-normal conditions for the remainder due to ridging over the western U.S. suppressing Pacific storm tracks, aligning with historical April averages near 2.9 inches amid inherent forecast uncertainty. Key upcoming updates include NOAA 6-10 day precipitation outlooks and model ensembles through April 30 resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPrecipitation in Seattle in April?
Precipitation in Seattle in April?
3-3.5" 47%
3.5-4" 18.7%
2.5-3" 12%
<2.5" 8%
$44,083 Vol.
$44,083 Vol.
<2.5"
8%
2.5-3"
12%
3-3.5"
47%
3.5-4"
19%
4-4.5"
2%
4.5-5"
2%
>5"
3%
3-3.5" 47%
3.5-4" 18.7%
2.5-3" 12%
<2.5" 8%
$44,083 Vol.
$44,083 Vol.
<2.5"
8%
2.5-3"
12%
3-3.5"
47%
3.5-4"
19%
4-4.5"
2%
4.5-5"
2%
>5"
3%
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 3-3.5 inches of total April precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) at 46.5% implied probability, driven by a recent surge of 1.06 inches on April 14 that elevated the month-to-date total to 1.86 inches through that date—above the 1991-2020 normal of 1.64 inches—following a mostly dry early month save for 0.69 inches on April 1. National Weather Service observations confirm this wetter-than-expected start, but Climate Prediction Center outlooks point to drier-than-normal conditions for the remainder due to ridging over the western U.S. suppressing Pacific storm tracks, aligning with historical April averages near 2.9 inches amid inherent forecast uncertainty. Key upcoming updates include NOAA 6-10 day precipitation outlooks and model ensembles through April 30 resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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