Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding position in South Carolina's 7th congressional district, where the Partisan Voter Index stands at R+12 and all major race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Fry's established record, substantial fundraising lead, and the absence of a competitive primary have reinforced trader expectations of continued Republican control ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat John Vincent, the party's unopposed nominee following a canceled primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. While the current implied probability exceeds 90 percent, developments such as unexpected national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSC-07 Wahlsieger
SC-07 Wahlsieger
$33,610 Vol.
$33,610 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
95%
Demokratische Partei
6%
$33,610 Vol.
$33,610 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$21,188 Vol.
95%
Demokratische Partei
$12,422 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding position in South Carolina's 7th congressional district, where the Partisan Voter Index stands at R+12 and all major race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Fry's established record, substantial fundraising lead, and the absence of a competitive primary have reinforced trader expectations of continued Republican control ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat John Vincent, the party's unopposed nominee following a canceled primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. While the current implied probability exceeds 90 percent, developments such as unexpected national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$33,610Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding position in South Carolina's 7th congressional district, where the Partisan Voter Index stands at R+12 and all major race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Fry's established record, substantial fundraising lead, and the absence of a competitive primary have reinforced trader expectations of continued Republican control ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat John Vincent, the party's unopposed nominee following a canceled primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. While the current implied probability exceeds 90 percent, developments such as unexpected national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$33,610Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding position in South Carolina's 7th congressional district, where the Partisan Voter Index stands at R+12 and all major race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Fry's established record, substantial fundraising lead, and the absence of a competitive primary have reinforced trader expectations of continued Republican control ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat John Vincent, the party's unopposed nominee following a canceled primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. While the current implied probability exceeds 90 percent, developments such as unexpected national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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