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icon for WI-01 Wahlsieger
Wahlen·4. Nov. Wahlen

WI-01 Wahlsieger

icon for WI-01 Wahlsieger
Wahlen·4. Nov. Wahlen

WI-01 Wahlsieger

Polymarket

$10,042 Vol.

Polymarket

$10,042 Vol.

Bryan Steil (R)

$5,341 Vol.

65%

Mitchell Berman (D)

$4,701 Vol.

34%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s historical Republican lean despite redistricting that added Democratic-leaning areas around Beloit and Janesville. Steil secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the August 11 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Democrat Mitchell Berman, an ER nurse who won a multi-candidate primary, launched his first general-election ad on September 8 emphasizing his working-class background and criticism of special-interest influence. Recent polling shows the race within a few points, yet trader pricing incorporates Steil’s incumbency, prior 54 percent victory in 2024, and the district’s baseline Republican tilt while acknowledging Berman’s potential to close the gap through targeted messaging on economic issues.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,042
Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s historical Republican lean despite redistricting that added Democratic-leaning areas around Beloit and Janesville. Steil secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the August 11 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Democrat Mitchell Berman, an ER nurse who won a multi-candidate primary, launched his first general-election ad on September 8 emphasizing his working-class background and criticism of special-interest influence. Recent polling shows the race within a few points, yet trader pricing incorporates Steil’s incumbency, prior 54 percent victory in 2024, and the district’s baseline Republican tilt while acknowledging Berman’s potential to close the gap through targeted messaging on economic issues.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,042
Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den WI-02 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den WI-02 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

97%
Ja
icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei den WI-06 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Republikanische Partei den WI-06 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

92%
Ja
icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den WI-03 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den WI-03 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

71%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„WI-01 Wahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Bryan Steil (R)" mit 65%, gefolgt von „Mitchell Berman (D)" mit 34%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 65¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 65% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „WI-01 Wahlsieger" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $10K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „WI-01 Wahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „WI-01 Wahlsieger" ist „Bryan Steil (R)" mit 65%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 65% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Mitchell Berman (D)" mit 34%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „WI-01 Wahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.