Wyoming's at-large congressional district maintains one of the strongest Republican leans in the country, reflected in its R+23 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 72 percent vote share in the prior presidential contest. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican despite the open status following Harriet Hageman's departure. The state’s Republican supermajority in the legislature, limited Democratic infrastructure, and consistent double-digit margins in recent House races reinforce trader expectations of continued GOP control. The August 18 Republican primary will determine the nominee among ten candidates, but general-election dynamics leave little room for Democratic success. A major scandal involving the eventual Republican nominee or an unprecedented surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s structural profile.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWY-AL Wahlsieger
WY-AL Wahlsieger
$42,399 Vol.
$42,399 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
94%
Demokratische Partei
2%
$42,399 Vol.
$42,399 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$18,591 Vol.
94%
Demokratische Partei
$23,808 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large congressional district maintains one of the strongest Republican leans in the country, reflected in its R+23 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 72 percent vote share in the prior presidential contest. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican despite the open status following Harriet Hageman's departure. The state’s Republican supermajority in the legislature, limited Democratic infrastructure, and consistent double-digit margins in recent House races reinforce trader expectations of continued GOP control. The August 18 Republican primary will determine the nominee among ten candidates, but general-election dynamics leave little room for Democratic success. A major scandal involving the eventual Republican nominee or an unprecedented surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s structural profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$42,399Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large congressional district maintains one of the strongest Republican leans in the country, reflected in its R+23 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 72 percent vote share in the prior presidential contest. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican despite the open status following Harriet Hageman's departure. The state’s Republican supermajority in the legislature, limited Democratic infrastructure, and consistent double-digit margins in recent House races reinforce trader expectations of continued GOP control. The August 18 Republican primary will determine the nominee among ten candidates, but general-election dynamics leave little room for Democratic success. A major scandal involving the eventual Republican nominee or an unprecedented surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s structural profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$42,399Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's at-large congressional district maintains one of the strongest Republican leans in the country, reflected in its R+23 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 72 percent vote share in the prior presidential contest. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican despite the open status following Harriet Hageman's departure. The state’s Republican supermajority in the legislature, limited Democratic infrastructure, and consistent double-digit margins in recent House races reinforce trader expectations of continued GOP control. The August 18 Republican primary will determine the nominee among ten candidates, but general-election dynamics leave little room for Democratic success. A major scandal involving the eventual Republican nominee or an unprecedented surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s structural profile.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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