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Elecciones parlamentarias búlgaras: ¿Qué partidos entran en el Parlamento?

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Elecciones parlamentarias búlgaras: ¿Qué partidos entran en el Parlamento?

$104,002 Vol.

19 abr 2026
Polymarket

$104,002 Vol.

Polymarket
¿Ganará Izquierda Unida (BSP) al menos un escaño en las elecciones parlamentarias búlgaras de 2026? icon

BSP

$30,782 Vol.

47%

¿Ganará Moralidad, Unidad, Honor (MECh) al menos un escaño en las elecciones parlamentarias búlgaras de 2026? icon

MECh

$7,028 Vol.

19%

¿Conseguirá Velichie (Velichie) al menos un escaño en las elecciones parlamentarias búlgaras de 2026? icon

Velichie

$40,561 Vol.

10%

¿Ganará Hay tal Pueblo (ITN) al menos un escaño en las elecciones parlamentarias búlgaras de 2026? icon

ITN

$11,769 Vol.

2%

¿Ganarà la Alianza por los Derechos y las Libertades (APS) al menos un escaño en las elecciones parlamentarias búlgaras de 2026? icon

APS

$13,863 Vol.

2%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria's snap parliamentary elections on April 19—its eighth since 2021 amid chronic instability—feature proportional representation with a 4% national threshold for the 240-seat National Assembly. Recent polls, including Sova Harris (April 2-6) and CAM (April 3-14), project Progressive Bulgaria (led by former President Rumen Radev) dominating at 32-34%, followed by GERB-SDS (19-21%), PP-DB (11-12%), DPS (10%), Revival (7%), and BSP (4-4.5%), with five to six formations likely entering parliament. Caretaker PM Andrey Gyurov's vowed crackdown on vote-buying, bolstered by OSCE/ODIHR and PACE observers, addresses fraud risks highlighted in recent reporting, as three million voters could shape a fragmented outcome prone to coalition negotiations.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$104,002
Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria's snap parliamentary elections on April 19—its eighth since 2021 amid chronic instability—feature proportional representation with a 4% national threshold for the 240-seat National Assembly. Recent polls, including Sova Harris (April 2-6) and CAM (April 3-14), project Progressive Bulgaria (led by former President Rumen Radev) dominating at 32-34%, followed by GERB-SDS (19-21%), PP-DB (11-12%), DPS (10%), Revival (7%), and BSP (4-4.5%), with five to six formations likely entering parliament. Caretaker PM Andrey Gyurov's vowed crackdown on vote-buying, bolstered by OSCE/ODIHR and PACE observers, addresses fraud risks highlighted in recent reporting, as three million voters could shape a fragmented outcome prone to coalition negotiations.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$104,002
Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones parlamentarias búlgaras: ¿Qué partidos entran en el Parlamento?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "BSP" con 47%, seguido de "MECh" con 19%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 47¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elecciones parlamentarias búlgaras: ¿Qué partidos entran en el Parlamento?" ha generado $104K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elecciones parlamentarias búlgaras: ¿Qué partidos entran en el Parlamento?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones parlamentarias búlgaras: ¿Qué partidos entran en el Parlamento?" es "BSP" con 47%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "MECh" con 19%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones parlamentarias búlgaras: ¿Qué partidos entran en el Parlamento?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.