California's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5%. Incumbent Representative Jared Huffman seeks another term in a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, where recent presidential results have shown Democratic performance well above national averages. The nonpartisan primary on June 2, 2026, features limited Republican competition, consistent with the district's historical voting patterns and lack of recent shifts in voter registration or turnout trends. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the implied probability from market pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unforeseen primary upset or late-cycle national wave, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
92%
Partido Republicano
7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$0 Vol.
92%
Partido Republicano
$1,216 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5%. Incumbent Representative Jared Huffman seeks another term in a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, where recent presidential results have shown Democratic performance well above national averages. The nonpartisan primary on June 2, 2026, features limited Republican competition, consistent with the district's historical voting patterns and lack of recent shifts in voter registration or turnout trends. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the implied probability from market pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unforeseen primary upset or late-cycle national wave, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$1,216Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5%. Incumbent Representative Jared Huffman seeks another term in a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, where recent presidential results have shown Democratic performance well above national averages. The nonpartisan primary on June 2, 2026, features limited Republican competition, consistent with the district's historical voting patterns and lack of recent shifts in voter registration or turnout trends. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the implied probability from market pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unforeseen primary upset or late-cycle national wave, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$1,216Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5%. Incumbent Representative Jared Huffman seeks another term in a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, where recent presidential results have shown Democratic performance well above national averages. The nonpartisan primary on June 2, 2026, features limited Republican competition, consistent with the district's historical voting patterns and lack of recent shifts in voter registration or turnout trends. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the implied probability from market pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unforeseen primary upset or late-cycle national wave, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes