Manfred Reyes Villa's commanding 99.2% implied probability in the Cochabamba mayoral election market reflects official preliminary results from Bolivia's Tribunal Electoral Departamental (TED), confirming his landslide victory with over 55% of votes in the March 2021 subnational elections—results now fully validated amid no credible challenges. His incumbency since 2021, bolstered by strong regional support and infrastructure achievements, has solidified trader consensus, with rivals like José Carlos Sánchez trailing far behind. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a recount or annulment by the Plurinational Electoral Organ (Órgano Plurinacional Electoral), though no such developments have emerged and deadlines have passed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cochabamba (Bolivia)
Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cochabamba (Bolivia)
Manfred Reyes Villa 99.2%
José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín <1%
Cristian Tastaca <1%
Ronald Antonio Unzueta <1%
$317,445 Vol.
$317,445 Vol.

Manfred Reyes Villa
99%

José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín
<1%

Cristian Tastaca
<1%

Ronald Antonio Unzueta
<1%

Ramón Daza
<1%

Carlos Zavaleta
<1%

Rocio Alejandra Molina
<1%

Luis Roberto Perrogón
<1%

Edgar Javier Rodriguez
<1%

Francisco Javier Bellott
<1%
Manfred Reyes Villa 99.2%
José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín <1%
Cristian Tastaca <1%
Ronald Antonio Unzueta <1%
$317,445 Vol.
$317,445 Vol.

Manfred Reyes Villa
99%

José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín
<1%

Cristian Tastaca
<1%

Ronald Antonio Unzueta
<1%

Ramón Daza
<1%

Carlos Zavaleta
<1%

Rocio Alejandra Molina
<1%

Luis Roberto Perrogón
<1%

Edgar Javier Rodriguez
<1%

Francisco Javier Bellott
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Mercado abierto: Jan 20, 2026, 8:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Manfred Reyes Villa's commanding 99.2% implied probability in the Cochabamba mayoral election market reflects official preliminary results from Bolivia's Tribunal Electoral Departamental (TED), confirming his landslide victory with over 55% of votes in the March 2021 subnational elections—results now fully validated amid no credible challenges. His incumbency since 2021, bolstered by strong regional support and infrastructure achievements, has solidified trader consensus, with rivals like José Carlos Sánchez trailing far behind. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a recount or annulment by the Plurinational Electoral Organ (Órgano Plurinacional Electoral), though no such developments have emerged and deadlines have passed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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