Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 7 centers on a high near the seasonal normal of 83–84°F, with possible afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, and Lake Michigan moderation limiting stronger heating. These conditions have anchored trader consensus on the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins, which together capture over 70% of market-implied probability. Recent model runs show limited spread due to stable steering patterns and no incoming heat dome, keeping upside risk for 88°F+ low while reducing chances of sub-82°F readings. Official observations and updated short-range forecasts will determine the final high relative to these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 7 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 7 de agosto?
84-85°F 43%
86-87°F 30%
82-83°F 21%
88-89°F 7%
NUEVO
$11,670 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,670 Vol.
7 ago 2026
75°F o menos
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
43%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94°F o más
<1%
84-85°F 43%
86-87°F 30%
82-83°F 21%
88-89°F 7%
NUEVO
$11,670 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,670 Vol.
7 ago 2026
75°F o menos
$1,624 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$925 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$313 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$395 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$1,792 Vol.
21%
84-85°F
$1,274 Vol.
43%
86-87°F
$1,371 Vol.
30%
88-89°F
$762 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$1,670 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$292 Vol.
1%
94°F o más
$1,252 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 7 centers on a high near the seasonal normal of 83–84°F, with possible afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, and Lake Michigan moderation limiting stronger heating. These conditions have anchored trader consensus on the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins, which together capture over 70% of market-implied probability. Recent model runs show limited spread due to stable steering patterns and no incoming heat dome, keeping upside risk for 88°F+ low while reducing chances of sub-82°F readings. Official observations and updated short-range forecasts will determine the final high relative to these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$11,670Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 7 centers on a high near the seasonal normal of 83–84°F, with possible afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, and Lake Michigan moderation limiting stronger heating. These conditions have anchored trader consensus on the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins, which together capture over 70% of market-implied probability. Recent model runs show limited spread due to stable steering patterns and no incoming heat dome, keeping upside risk for 88°F+ low while reducing chances of sub-82°F readings. Official observations and updated short-range forecasts will determine the final high relative to these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,670Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 7 centers on a high near the seasonal normal of 83–84°F, with possible afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, and Lake Michigan moderation limiting stronger heating. These conditions have anchored trader consensus on the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins, which together capture over 70% of market-implied probability. Recent model runs show limited spread due to stable steering patterns and no incoming heat dome, keeping upside risk for 88°F+ low while reducing chances of sub-82°F readings. Official observations and updated short-range forecasts will determine the final high relative to these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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