The Polymarket odds tilt toward a high of 68°F or higher in Dallas on March 28 at 42% implied probability, propelled by the National Weather Service's latest forecast showing highs reaching 70-72°F under a ridge of high pressure ushering mild southerly flow. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF have converged on this warmer scenario in recent runs, up from cooler projections earlier in the week amid resolving cloud cover uncertainties. Historical late-March norms hover around 68°F, but trader consensus reflects optimism from minimal frontal activity, with 66-67°F (24.5%) as the next likely bin; watch for tomorrow's 12z model updates, as any northward jet stream shift could trim the upper-end odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
68°F or higher 41%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 13%
60-61°F 9%
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
2%
52-53°F
3%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
7%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
20%
68°F or higher
41%
68°F or higher 41%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 13%
60-61°F 9%
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
2%
52-53°F
3%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
7%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
20%
68°F or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Polymarket odds tilt toward a high of 68°F or higher in Dallas on March 28 at 42% implied probability, propelled by the National Weather Service's latest forecast showing highs reaching 70-72°F under a ridge of high pressure ushering mild southerly flow. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF have converged on this warmer scenario in recent runs, up from cooler projections earlier in the week amid resolving cloud cover uncertainties. Historical late-March norms hover around 68°F, but trader consensus reflects optimism from minimal frontal activity, with 66-67°F (24.5%) as the next likely bin; watch for tomorrow's 12z model updates, as any northward jet stream shift could trim the upper-end odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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