Trader consensus pins the highest temperature in Dallas on March 26 at 88-89°F (27.5% implied probability), propelled by the National Weather Service's latest point forecast of 89°F amid converging global ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF. A robust subtropical ridge aloft fosters subsidence inversion and southerly low-level winds, delivering Gulf warmth 12-15°F above March norms of 72°F. Closely trailing 90-91°F odds hinge on maximal boundary layer mixing for afternoon peaks, while 86-87°F reflects risks of fair-weather cumulus shading; recent 12z model runs shifted 1-2°F warmer due to amplified 500-mb height anomalies, tightening the spread but underscoring short-range convective uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 26 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 26 de marzo?
88-89°F 26%
90-91°F 18%
86-87°F 17%
84-85°F 11%
79°F o menos
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F o más
1%
88-89°F 26%
90-91°F 18%
86-87°F 17%
84-85°F 11%
79°F o menos
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pins the highest temperature in Dallas on March 26 at 88-89°F (27.5% implied probability), propelled by the National Weather Service's latest point forecast of 89°F amid converging global ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF. A robust subtropical ridge aloft fosters subsidence inversion and southerly low-level winds, delivering Gulf warmth 12-15°F above March norms of 72°F. Closely trailing 90-91°F odds hinge on maximal boundary layer mixing for afternoon peaks, while 86-87°F reflects risks of fair-weather cumulus shading; recent 12z model runs shifted 1-2°F warmer due to amplified 500-mb height anomalies, tightening the spread but underscoring short-range convective uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes