Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 58°F or higher in Atlanta on March 25, driven by ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 60s amid persistent ridging aloft and southerly flow. Official short-range guidance from the National Weather Service aligns, showing minimal cloud cover and light winds conducive to above-normal temperatures, consistent with Atlanta's March climatology of average highs near 64°F. Recent model runs have tightened agreement, reducing spread to just 3-5°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected shortwave trough diving southeastward, potentially capping highs below 58°F if verified by 12z updates, though current probabilities remain under 4%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
58°F or higher 97.0%
52-53°F 1.5%
54-55°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$21,112 Vol.
$21,112 Vol.
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
97%
58°F or higher 97.0%
52-53°F 1.5%
54-55°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$21,112 Vol.
$21,112 Vol.
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 58°F or higher in Atlanta on March 25, driven by ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 60s amid persistent ridging aloft and southerly flow. Official short-range guidance from the National Weather Service aligns, showing minimal cloud cover and light winds conducive to above-normal temperatures, consistent with Atlanta's March climatology of average highs near 64°F. Recent model runs have tightened agreement, reducing spread to just 3-5°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected shortwave trough diving southeastward, potentially capping highs below 58°F if verified by 12z updates, though current probabilities remain under 4%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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