Trader consensus on Denver's March 25 high temperature hinges on the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensembles forecasting a potent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies, fueling downslope chinook winds and adiabatic warming to push readings into the low to mid-80s°F. The tight race between 82-83°F (17%) and 84-85°F (17%) stems from model spread: core members peak near 83°F under partly cloudy skies, while drier, sunnier outliers nudge toward 85°F via enhanced surface heating. Higher bids like 92-93°F (14%) reflect aggressive runs with peak ridge axis overhead, contrasting slim odds (2.3%) for 77°F or below amid entrenched warm anomalies far above March norms (~57°F). Watch 12z updates for cloud cover refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on March 25?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 25?
82-83°F 18%
84-85°F 18%
92-93°F 14%
94-95°F 12%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
12%
96°F or higher
8%
82-83°F 18%
84-85°F 18%
92-93°F 14%
94-95°F 12%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
12%
96°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Denver's March 25 high temperature hinges on the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensembles forecasting a potent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies, fueling downslope chinook winds and adiabatic warming to push readings into the low to mid-80s°F. The tight race between 82-83°F (17%) and 84-85°F (17%) stems from model spread: core members peak near 83°F under partly cloudy skies, while drier, sunnier outliers nudge toward 85°F via enhanced surface heating. Higher bids like 92-93°F (14%) reflect aggressive runs with peak ridge axis overhead, contrasting slim odds (2.3%) for 77°F or below amid entrenched warm anomalies far above March norms (~57°F). Watch 12z updates for cloud cover refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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