Trader sentiment on Los Angeles' highest temperature March 25 hinges on the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a peak near 83°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge building over Southern California, boosting odds for 82-83°F (15.5%) and 84-85°F (13.0%). This setup suppresses marine layer influence, allowing adiabatic warming and downslope Santa Ana-like winds to elevate temperatures above the March climatological average of 70°F at LAX. Differentiating factors include GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing spread—GFS hotter at 85°F, Euro cooler near 80°F—while low-probability tails reflect risks of coastal cloud intrusion dropping to 69°F or below (12.5%) or extreme heat bursting to 88°F+ (8.6%). Key watch: afternoon sounding data for instability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 25?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 25?
82-83°F 16%
69°F or below 13%
84-85°F 13%
72-73°F 11%
69°F or below
13%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
11%
88°F or higher
2%
82-83°F 16%
69°F or below 13%
84-85°F 13%
72-73°F 11%
69°F or below
13%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
11%
88°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Los Angeles' highest temperature March 25 hinges on the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a peak near 83°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge building over Southern California, boosting odds for 82-83°F (15.5%) and 84-85°F (13.0%). This setup suppresses marine layer influence, allowing adiabatic warming and downslope Santa Ana-like winds to elevate temperatures above the March climatological average of 70°F at LAX. Differentiating factors include GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing spread—GFS hotter at 85°F, Euro cooler near 80°F—while low-probability tails reflect risks of coastal cloud intrusion dropping to 69°F or below (12.5%) or extreme heat bursting to 88°F+ (8.6%). Key watch: afternoon sounding data for instability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes