Latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts cluster Miami's March 25 high temperature around 81-83°F, fueling the neck-and-neck odds for 80-81°F (27.5%), 82-83°F (25.5%), and 84-85°F (25.0%) bins amid a subtropical ridge enhancing solar insolation 3-4°F above the 79°F climatological average. Fading El Niño effects and warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures support above-normal warmth, but timing of the afternoon sea breeze and potential pop-up showers introduce model spread that favors slightly cooler peaks over 85°F. Traders eye upcoming 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs for resolution-defining clarity, with historical March 25 volatility underscoring uncertainty in diurnal maximums.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on March 25?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 25?
80-81°F 28%
82-83°F 26%
84-85°F 25%
78-79°F 18%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 28%
82-83°F 26%
84-85°F 25%
78-79°F 18%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts cluster Miami's March 25 high temperature around 81-83°F, fueling the neck-and-neck odds for 80-81°F (27.5%), 82-83°F (25.5%), and 84-85°F (25.0%) bins amid a subtropical ridge enhancing solar insolation 3-4°F above the 79°F climatological average. Fading El Niño effects and warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures support above-normal warmth, but timing of the afternoon sea breeze and potential pop-up showers introduce model spread that favors slightly cooler peaks over 85°F. Traders eye upcoming 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs for resolution-defining clarity, with historical March 25 volatility underscoring uncertainty in diurnal maximums.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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