**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a daytime high of 16°C in Helsinki on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability (66.5% for exactly 16°C).** This reflects stable early-autumn conditions with moderate southwesterly flow, limited warm advection, and seasonal norms (historical average high near 15.9°C). Recent model runs show tight clustering around 15–17°C, with light precipitation chances (10–60% in some guidance) unlikely to suppress the maximum. Secondary probabilities for 15°C (23%) and 17°C (8.5%) capture residual uncertainty from timing of any cloud cover or minor wind shifts, while extremes below 14°C or above 18°C remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and absence of blocking highs or cold outbreaks. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble outputs heavily as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Helsinki el 13 de septiembre?
16°C 67%
15°C 21%
17°C 9%
14°C 3%
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
21%
16°C
67%
17°C
9%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C o más
<1%
16°C 67%
15°C 21%
17°C 9%
14°C 3%
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
21%
16°C
67%
17°C
9%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a daytime high of 16°C in Helsinki on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability (66.5% for exactly 16°C).** This reflects stable early-autumn conditions with moderate southwesterly flow, limited warm advection, and seasonal norms (historical average high near 15.9°C). Recent model runs show tight clustering around 15–17°C, with light precipitation chances (10–60% in some guidance) unlikely to suppress the maximum. Secondary probabilities for 15°C (23%) and 17°C (8.5%) capture residual uncertainty from timing of any cloud cover or minor wind shifts, while extremes below 14°C or above 18°C remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and absence of blocking highs or cold outbreaks. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble outputs heavily as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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