**Forecast consensus from meteorological models and agencies points to a high of 31–32°C in Jinan on September 19, driven by persistent high-pressure ridge conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating.** Recent atmospheric circulation adjustments have sustained this warm “autumn tiger” pattern, with daytime temperatures rebounding above seasonal norms after earlier cooling. Multiple sources, including local forecasts and international models, align on mostly sunny or partly cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting the market’s overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context, yet current observations and short-range guidance show limited variability. The primary risk of a downward revision would require an unforecast cold-air intrusion or rapid model shift before resolution, though ensemble agreement currently indicates low likelihood of such change.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 19 de septiembre?
26°C o más 98%
25°C 7%
24°C 3%
16°C o menos <1%
16°C o menos
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C o más
98%
26°C o más 98%
25°C 7%
24°C 3%
16°C o menos <1%
16°C o menos
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C o más
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from meteorological models and agencies points to a high of 31–32°C in Jinan on September 19, driven by persistent high-pressure ridge conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating.** Recent atmospheric circulation adjustments have sustained this warm “autumn tiger” pattern, with daytime temperatures rebounding above seasonal norms after earlier cooling. Multiple sources, including local forecasts and international models, align on mostly sunny or partly cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting the market’s overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context, yet current observations and short-range guidance show limited variability. The primary risk of a downward revision would require an unforecast cold-air intrusion or rapid model shift before resolution, though ensemble agreement currently indicates low likelihood of such change.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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