Recent atmospheric circulation shifts have produced an "autumn tiger" warming pattern across northern China, with Jinan daytime highs reaching 31–33°C in mid-September and limited cold-air intrusions so far. Ensemble forecasts for the September 19 overnight minimum cluster near 19–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting the near-even market split between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, local radiative cooling rates, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these uncertainties heavily ahead of the next China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated high-resolution model runs expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Jinan el 19 de septiembre?
12°C o menos 88%
22°C o más 46%
17°C 40%
18°C 22%
12°C o menos
88%
13°C
17%
14°C
10%
15°C
10%
16°C
21%
17°C
24%
18°C
22%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C o más
46%
12°C o menos 88%
22°C o más 46%
17°C 40%
18°C 22%
12°C o menos
88%
13°C
17%
14°C
10%
15°C
10%
16°C
21%
17°C
24%
18°C
22%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C o más
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric circulation shifts have produced an "autumn tiger" warming pattern across northern China, with Jinan daytime highs reaching 31–33°C in mid-September and limited cold-air intrusions so far. Ensemble forecasts for the September 19 overnight minimum cluster near 19–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting the near-even market split between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, local radiative cooling rates, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these uncertainties heavily ahead of the next China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated high-resolution model runs expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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