Recent official forecasts for Jinan indicate a daily high of 28–32°C on September 24 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, placing the outcome well above the 26°C threshold. Numerical weather models from regional meteorological centers align on this range, reflecting typical late-September conditions over the North China Plain with no strong cold advection or widespread precipitation expected to cap temperatures. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher tracks these model outputs and climatological baselines, which show average September maxima near 26–28°C. A realistic downside scenario would require rapid development of persistent low-level stratus or heavier rain bands that reduce insolation more than currently projected, potentially trimming the high by several degrees.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 24 de septiembre?
26°C o superior 98%
22°C 4%
23°C 4%
24°C 4%
16°C o menos
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C o superior
98%
26°C o superior 98%
22°C 4%
23°C 4%
24°C 4%
16°C o menos
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C o superior
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Jinan indicate a daily high of 28–32°C on September 24 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, placing the outcome well above the 26°C threshold. Numerical weather models from regional meteorological centers align on this range, reflecting typical late-September conditions over the North China Plain with no strong cold advection or widespread precipitation expected to cap temperatures. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher tracks these model outputs and climatological baselines, which show average September maxima near 26–28°C. A realistic downside scenario would require rapid development of persistent low-level stratus or heavier rain bands that reduce insolation more than currently projected, potentially trimming the high by several degrees.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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