**Forecasts for Jinan on September 24, 2026, point to an overnight low near 19–22°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds, placing the outcome near the market’s closely matched leaders (22°C or higher at 48.0% implied probability versus 12°C or below at 47.9%).** Local meteorological guidance and multiple model runs show persistent cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, while southerly flow maintains mild conditions typical for late September in Shandong. Historical climatology supports lows in the upper teens to low 20s Celsius, with averages near 18°C. Model disagreement centers on the timing and strength of any cooler air advection or clearing skies that could allow greater overnight drop; some ensembles keep readings above 22°C, while others dip toward or below 20°C. Resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded during the 24-hour period, with no strong signals yet for the sharply colder 12°C-or-below scenario. Upcoming model updates and observational data from the evening of the 23rd into the 24th will likely narrow this spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Jinan el 24 de septiembre?
22°C o más 47%
12°C o menos 46.2%
19°C 22%
18°C 21%
12°C o menos
46%
13°C
20%
14°C
20%
15°C
17%
16°C
10%
17°C
10%
18°C
21%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C o más
47%
22°C o más 47%
12°C o menos 46.2%
19°C 22%
18°C 21%
12°C o menos
46%
13°C
20%
14°C
20%
15°C
17%
16°C
10%
17°C
10%
18°C
21%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C o más
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for Jinan on September 24, 2026, point to an overnight low near 19–22°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds, placing the outcome near the market’s closely matched leaders (22°C or higher at 48.0% implied probability versus 12°C or below at 47.9%).** Local meteorological guidance and multiple model runs show persistent cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, while southerly flow maintains mild conditions typical for late September in Shandong. Historical climatology supports lows in the upper teens to low 20s Celsius, with averages near 18°C. Model disagreement centers on the timing and strength of any cooler air advection or clearing skies that could allow greater overnight drop; some ensembles keep readings above 22°C, while others dip toward or below 20°C. Resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded during the 24-hour period, with no strong signals yet for the sharply colder 12°C-or-below scenario. Upcoming model updates and observational data from the evening of the 23rd into the 24th will likely narrow this spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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