Recent PAGASA forecasts and numerical weather models indicate a maximum temperature near 29–31°C for Metro Manila on August 6, with 90% rain probability driven by the active southwest monsoon and lingering effects from nearby tropical systems. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers limit surface heating, favoring the market-implied 29°C outcome at 49.5% while capping upside risk above 31°C. Broader seasonal context includes an emerging El Niño signal and below-normal rainfall trends across parts of the Maritime Continent, yet short-term steering patterns and moisture influx keep daily maxima suppressed relative to clear-sky climatology around 31°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key catalysts for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 6 de agosto?
29°C 50%
30°C 29%
28°C 19%
31°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
19%
29°C
50%
30°C
29%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
<1%
29°C 50%
30°C 29%
28°C 19%
31°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
25°C o menos
$236 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$245 Vol.
3%
28°C
$210 Vol.
19%
29°C
$3,128 Vol.
50%
30°C
$605 Vol.
29%
31°C
$313 Vol.
5%
32°C
$124 Vol.
1%
33°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
35°C o más
$288 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts and numerical weather models indicate a maximum temperature near 29–31°C for Metro Manila on August 6, with 90% rain probability driven by the active southwest monsoon and lingering effects from nearby tropical systems. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers limit surface heating, favoring the market-implied 29°C outcome at 49.5% while capping upside risk above 31°C. Broader seasonal context includes an emerging El Niño signal and below-normal rainfall trends across parts of the Maritime Continent, yet short-term steering patterns and moisture influx keep daily maxima suppressed relative to clear-sky climatology around 31°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$5,842Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts and numerical weather models indicate a maximum temperature near 29–31°C for Metro Manila on August 6, with 90% rain probability driven by the active southwest monsoon and lingering effects from nearby tropical systems. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers limit surface heating, favoring the market-implied 29°C outcome at 49.5% while capping upside risk above 31°C. Broader seasonal context includes an emerging El Niño signal and below-normal rainfall trends across parts of the Maritime Continent, yet short-term steering patterns and moisture influx keep daily maxima suppressed relative to clear-sky climatology around 31°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,842Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts and numerical weather models indicate a maximum temperature near 29–31°C for Metro Manila on August 6, with 90% rain probability driven by the active southwest monsoon and lingering effects from nearby tropical systems. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers limit surface heating, favoring the market-implied 29°C outcome at 49.5% while capping upside risk above 31°C. Broader seasonal context includes an emerging El Niño signal and below-normal rainfall trends across parts of the Maritime Continent, yet short-term steering patterns and moisture influx keep daily maxima suppressed relative to clear-sky climatology around 31°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key catalysts for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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