Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 29°C (38.5% implied probability) for Mexico City on April 17, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting afternoon highs of 27-29°C under partly cloudy skies with northwesterly winds gusting to 40 km/h, following the dissipation of Frente Frío No. 44. Recent observations this week, including 28°C peaks on April 12 and 27-29°C on April 15, align with this range, bolstered by AccuWeather's 81°F (27°C) projection and global models like GFS and ECMWF showing stable high-pressure ridging post-frontal passage. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation moderates extremes above historical April averages of 26-27°C, with urban heat island effects potentially nudging toward the upper end; new model runs expected overnight could refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 36%
30°C 25%
28°C 22%
31°C 10%
NUEVO
$10,769 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,769 Vol.
17 abr 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
22%
29°C
36%
30°C
25%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 36%
30°C 25%
28°C 22%
31°C 10%
NUEVO
$10,769 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,769 Vol.
17 abr 2026
25°C or below
$1,184 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,593 Vol.
1%
27°C
$940 Vol.
6%
28°C
$359 Vol.
22%
29°C
$467 Vol.
36%
30°C
$273 Vol.
25%
31°C
$673 Vol.
10%
32°C
$801 Vol.
3%
33°C
$706 Vol.
1%
34°C
$709 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$2,153 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 29°C (38.5% implied probability) for Mexico City on April 17, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting afternoon highs of 27-29°C under partly cloudy skies with northwesterly winds gusting to 40 km/h, following the dissipation of Frente Frío No. 44. Recent observations this week, including 28°C peaks on April 12 and 27-29°C on April 15, align with this range, bolstered by AccuWeather's 81°F (27°C) projection and global models like GFS and ECMWF showing stable high-pressure ridging post-frontal passage. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation moderates extremes above historical April averages of 26-27°C, with urban heat island effects potentially nudging toward the upper end; new model runs expected overnight could refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volumen
$10,769Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 29°C (38.5% implied probability) for Mexico City on April 17, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting afternoon highs of 27-29°C under partly cloudy skies with northwesterly winds gusting to 40 km/h, following the dissipation of Frente Frío No. 44. Recent observations this week, including 28°C peaks on April 12 and 27-29°C on April 15, align with this range, bolstered by AccuWeather's 81°F (27°C) projection and global models like GFS and ECMWF showing stable high-pressure ridging post-frontal passage. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation moderates extremes above historical April averages of 26-27°C, with urban heat island effects potentially nudging toward the upper end; new model runs expected overnight could refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,769Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 29°C (38.5% implied probability) for Mexico City on April 17, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting afternoon highs of 27-29°C under partly cloudy skies with northwesterly winds gusting to 40 km/h, following the dissipation of Frente Frío No. 44. Recent observations this week, including 28°C peaks on April 12 and 27-29°C on April 15, align with this range, bolstered by AccuWeather's 81°F (27°C) projection and global models like GFS and ECMWF showing stable high-pressure ridging post-frontal passage. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation moderates extremes above historical April averages of 26-27°C, with urban heat island effects potentially nudging toward the upper end; new model runs expected overnight could refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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