Short-term forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services show peak temperatures in Milan likely reaching 34–36°C on August 3 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit mixing and enhance afternoon heating. Trader consensus, with the 35°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, reflects tight model agreement on this range while acknowledging uncertainty from urban heat-island amplification and exact timing of maximum solar insolation. Above-normal conditions for early August—when climatological highs average near 30–32°C—support elevated odds around these values, though slight downward revisions remain possible if boundary-layer moisture increases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 3 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 3 de agosto?
35°C 38%
34°C 29%
36°C 23%
33°C or below 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
33°C or below
14%
34°C
29%
35°C
38%
36°C
23%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
34°C 29%
36°C 23%
33°C or below 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
33°C or below
$73 Vol.
14%
34°C
$30 Vol.
29%
35°C
$22 Vol.
38%
36°C
$11 Vol.
23%
37°C
$11 Vol.
3%
38°C
$31 Vol.
2%
39°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$30 Vol.
1%
41°C
$20 Vol.
1%
42°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$33 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services show peak temperatures in Milan likely reaching 34–36°C on August 3 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit mixing and enhance afternoon heating. Trader consensus, with the 35°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, reflects tight model agreement on this range while acknowledging uncertainty from urban heat-island amplification and exact timing of maximum solar insolation. Above-normal conditions for early August—when climatological highs average near 30–32°C—support elevated odds around these values, though slight downward revisions remain possible if boundary-layer moisture increases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$316Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services show peak temperatures in Milan likely reaching 34–36°C on August 3 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit mixing and enhance afternoon heating. Trader consensus, with the 35°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, reflects tight model agreement on this range while acknowledging uncertainty from urban heat-island amplification and exact timing of maximum solar insolation. Above-normal conditions for early August—when climatological highs average near 30–32°C—support elevated odds around these values, though slight downward revisions remain possible if boundary-layer moisture increases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$316Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services show peak temperatures in Milan likely reaching 34–36°C on August 3 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit mixing and enhance afternoon heating. Trader consensus, with the 35°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, reflects tight model agreement on this range while acknowledging uncertainty from urban heat-island amplification and exact timing of maximum solar insolation. Above-normal conditions for early August—when climatological highs average near 30–32°C—support elevated odds around these values, though slight downward revisions remain possible if boundary-layer moisture increases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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