Current short-term forecasts from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug converge on a maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on September 16, with partly cloudy skies, northwesterly winds, and low shower risk supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (59% implied probability). September climatology shows an average daily high near 15°C, while NIWA's spring 2026 outlook highlights a warmer-than-normal seasonal signal tied to El Niño, which elevates the chance of 16°C outcomes (18.5%) relative to cooler results. Model consensus remains the dominant driver, though forecast uncertainty grows with any shift in steering patterns or cloud cover; traders monitor MetService updates and ensemble runs for revisions before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 16 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 16 de septiembre?
15°C 62%
16°C 36%
14°C 20%
13°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
9°C o menos
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
16%
14°C
20%
15°C
62%
16°C
36%
17°C
16%
18°C
2%
19°C o más
<1%
15°C 62%
16°C 36%
14°C 20%
13°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
9°C o menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
2%
11°C
$5 Vol.
2%
12°C
$0 Vol.
2%
13°C
$0 Vol.
16%
14°C
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$129 Vol.
62%
16°C
$0 Vol.
36%
17°C
$0 Vol.
16%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C o más
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug converge on a maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on September 16, with partly cloudy skies, northwesterly winds, and low shower risk supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (59% implied probability). September climatology shows an average daily high near 15°C, while NIWA's spring 2026 outlook highlights a warmer-than-normal seasonal signal tied to El Niño, which elevates the chance of 16°C outcomes (18.5%) relative to cooler results. Model consensus remains the dominant driver, though forecast uncertainty grows with any shift in steering patterns or cloud cover; traders monitor MetService updates and ensemble runs for revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$134Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug converge on a maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on September 16, with partly cloudy skies, northwesterly winds, and low shower risk supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (59% implied probability). September climatology shows an average daily high near 15°C, while NIWA's spring 2026 outlook highlights a warmer-than-normal seasonal signal tied to El Niño, which elevates the chance of 16°C outcomes (18.5%) relative to cooler results. Model consensus remains the dominant driver, though forecast uncertainty grows with any shift in steering patterns or cloud cover; traders monitor MetService updates and ensemble runs for revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$134Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug converge on a maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on September 16, with partly cloudy skies, northwesterly winds, and low shower risk supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (59% implied probability). September climatology shows an average daily high near 15°C, while NIWA's spring 2026 outlook highlights a warmer-than-normal seasonal signal tied to El Niño, which elevates the chance of 16°C outcomes (18.5%) relative to cooler results. Model consensus remains the dominant driver, though forecast uncertainty grows with any shift in steering patterns or cloud cover; traders monitor MetService updates and ensemble runs for revisions before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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