Current forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and other models indicate a daily minimum near 15°C for Helsinki on August 29, supported by mild southeasterly flow, persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, and dew points around 14–16°C that suppress further drops. This aligns with the market-implied 68.5% probability on 15°C, well above the late-August climatological average low of roughly 12°C. Warmer-than-normal conditions over the Baltic region and absence of a strong cold advection event have kept overnight temperatures elevated, with observed evening readings already near 17–19°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the evening will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 29 de agosto?
14°C 3%
13°C <1%
12°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$1,370 Vol.
$1,370 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
66%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 3%
13°C <1%
12°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$1,370 Vol.
$1,370 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
66%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and other models indicate a daily minimum near 15°C for Helsinki on August 29, supported by mild southeasterly flow, persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, and dew points around 14–16°C that suppress further drops. This aligns with the market-implied 68.5% probability on 15°C, well above the late-August climatological average low of roughly 12°C. Warmer-than-normal conditions over the Baltic region and absence of a strong cold advection event have kept overnight temperatures elevated, with observed evening readings already near 17–19°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the evening will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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