Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and regional models point to a minimum temperature near 14–16 °C for Helsinki on August 30, driven by southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–15 °C. The 43 % probability assigned to 11 °C or below captures remaining model spread, including stronger advection of cooler maritime air or clearer breaks that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.9 °C, current guidance sits slightly above normal, yet the forecast uncertainty window keeps lower outcomes viable ahead of final observational data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 30 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 30 de agosto?
11°C or below 86%
14°C 28%
15°C 28%
13°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
11°C or below
86%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C
25%
17°C
20%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
13%
11°C or below 86%
14°C 28%
15°C 28%
13°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
11°C or below
$16 Vol.
86%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$15 Vol.
2%
19°C
$5 Vol.
8%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and regional models point to a minimum temperature near 14–16 °C for Helsinki on August 30, driven by southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–15 °C. The 43 % probability assigned to 11 °C or below captures remaining model spread, including stronger advection of cooler maritime air or clearer breaks that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.9 °C, current guidance sits slightly above normal, yet the forecast uncertainty window keeps lower outcomes viable ahead of final observational data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$46Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and regional models point to a minimum temperature near 14–16 °C for Helsinki on August 30, driven by southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–15 °C. The 43 % probability assigned to 11 °C or below captures remaining model spread, including stronger advection of cooler maritime air or clearer breaks that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.9 °C, current guidance sits slightly above normal, yet the forecast uncertainty window keeps lower outcomes viable ahead of final observational data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$46Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and regional models point to a minimum temperature near 14–16 °C for Helsinki on August 30, driven by southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–15 °C. The 43 % probability assigned to 11 °C or below captures remaining model spread, including stronger advection of cooler maritime air or clearer breaks that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.9 °C, current guidance sits slightly above normal, yet the forecast uncertainty window keeps lower outcomes viable ahead of final observational data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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