Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional stations show overnight minimum temperatures stabilizing near 26°C amid high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and persistent southwesterly flow associated with an active monsoon trough. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows range 25–26°C. Trader consensus at 97.5% for a 26°C low reflects alignment between current model guidance, real-time readings, and historical baselines, with only minor variance possible from localized urban heat effects or brief clear intervals. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing and reduced moisture that allows temperatures to dip below 25°C before sunrise, though forecast continuity through the resolution window makes this improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 27 de agosto?
26°C 98%
25°C 3%
24°C <1%
27°C <1%
$25,241 Vol.
$25,241 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
98%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 98%
25°C 3%
24°C <1%
27°C <1%
$25,241 Vol.
$25,241 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
98%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional stations show overnight minimum temperatures stabilizing near 26°C amid high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and persistent southwesterly flow associated with an active monsoon trough. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows range 25–26°C. Trader consensus at 97.5% for a 26°C low reflects alignment between current model guidance, real-time readings, and historical baselines, with only minor variance possible from localized urban heat effects or brief clear intervals. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing and reduced moisture that allows temperatures to dip below 25°C before sunrise, though forecast continuity through the resolution window makes this improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes