**Official Met Office and ensemble forecasts position an 18°C minimum as the dominant outcome for London on September 13, 2026, citing mild overnight conditions under cloudy, humid skies with light southwesterly winds that limit radiational cooling.** Persistent mild Atlantic airflow has kept surface temperatures elevated well above the 1991–2020 average low of roughly 12°C, with model runs converging on a daily minimum of 16–18°C and only modest potential for localized dips under clearer patches. Traders have heavily weighted the 18°C bin at 78% implied probability because current observations and short-range guidance show little scope for sharper cooling before dawn, though any unexpected clearing could briefly support a 17°C print. Resolution hinges on official Met Office minimum readings through the overnight period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 13 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 13 de septiembre?
18°C 98%
16°C 5.1%
17°C 3%
15°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
18%
18°C
78%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o más
<1%
18°C 98%
16°C 5.1%
17°C 3%
15°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
12°C o menos
$155 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$551 Vol.
5%
17°C
$2,359 Vol.
18%
18°C
$2,334 Vol.
78%
19°C
$2,235 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$862 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
22°C o más
$155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official Met Office and ensemble forecasts position an 18°C minimum as the dominant outcome for London on September 13, 2026, citing mild overnight conditions under cloudy, humid skies with light southwesterly winds that limit radiational cooling.** Persistent mild Atlantic airflow has kept surface temperatures elevated well above the 1991–2020 average low of roughly 12°C, with model runs converging on a daily minimum of 16–18°C and only modest potential for localized dips under clearer patches. Traders have heavily weighted the 18°C bin at 78% implied probability because current observations and short-range guidance show little scope for sharper cooling before dawn, though any unexpected clearing could briefly support a 17°C print. Resolution hinges on official Met Office minimum readings through the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$9,306Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official Met Office and ensemble forecasts position an 18°C minimum as the dominant outcome for London on September 13, 2026, citing mild overnight conditions under cloudy, humid skies with light southwesterly winds that limit radiational cooling.** Persistent mild Atlantic airflow has kept surface temperatures elevated well above the 1991–2020 average low of roughly 12°C, with model runs converging on a daily minimum of 16–18°C and only modest potential for localized dips under clearer patches. Traders have heavily weighted the 18°C bin at 78% implied probability because current observations and short-range guidance show little scope for sharper cooling before dawn, though any unexpected clearing could briefly support a 17°C print. Resolution hinges on official Met Office minimum readings through the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,306Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Met Office and ensemble forecasts position an 18°C minimum as the dominant outcome for London on September 13, 2026, citing mild overnight conditions under cloudy, humid skies with light southwesterly winds that limit radiational cooling.** Persistent mild Atlantic airflow has kept surface temperatures elevated well above the 1991–2020 average low of roughly 12°C, with model runs converging on a daily minimum of 16–18°C and only modest potential for localized dips under clearer patches. Traders have heavily weighted the 18°C bin at 78% implied probability because current observations and short-range guidance show little scope for sharper cooling before dawn, though any unexpected clearing could briefly support a 17°C print. Resolution hinges on official Met Office minimum readings through the overnight period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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