**Recent monsoon surge forecasts and associated cloud cover uncertainty are the main drivers behind closely matched Polymarket odds for Lucknow's September 13 minimum temperature.** Eastern Uttar Pradesh remains under active monsoon influence, with models showing a 40-50% chance of thunderstorms and variable convective activity that could either enhance nighttime radiative cooling through rain-cooled air or limit it via increased humidity and cloud insulation. Official guidance from the India Meteorological Department points to partly cloudy conditions with easterly winds around 10-15 km/h, supporting a baseline minimum near 26-28°C, yet small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could push readings lower or keep them elevated. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly, reflecting genuine forecast divergence typical in transitional monsoon periods where local moisture and steering patterns create high sensitivity in overnight lows. New model runs and IMD updates over the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the 26-28°C range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Lucknow el 13 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Lucknow el 13 de septiembre?
21°C o menos 78%
31°C o más 78%
27°C 44%
30°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
21°C o menos
78%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C
21%
27°C
30%
28°C
22%
29°C
38%
30°C
39%
31°C o más
78%
21°C o menos 78%
31°C o más 78%
27°C 44%
30°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$0 Vol.
78%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C
$0 Vol.
8%
24°C
$0 Vol.
38%
25°C
$0 Vol.
38%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$10 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
38%
30°C
$0 Vol.
39%
31°C o más
$0 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent monsoon surge forecasts and associated cloud cover uncertainty are the main drivers behind closely matched Polymarket odds for Lucknow's September 13 minimum temperature.**
Eastern Uttar Pradesh remains under active monsoon influence, with models showing a 40-50% chance of thunderstorms and variable convective activity that could either enhance nighttime radiative cooling through rain-cooled air or limit it via increased humidity and cloud insulation. Official guidance from the India Meteorological Department points to partly cloudy conditions with easterly winds around 10-15 km/h, supporting a baseline minimum near 26-28°C, yet small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could push readings lower or keep them elevated. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly, reflecting genuine forecast divergence typical in transitional monsoon periods where local moisture and steering patterns create high sensitivity in overnight lows. New model runs and IMD updates over the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the 26-28°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$10Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent monsoon surge forecasts and associated cloud cover uncertainty are the main drivers behind closely matched Polymarket odds for Lucknow's September 13 minimum temperature.**
Eastern Uttar Pradesh remains under active monsoon influence, with models showing a 40-50% chance of thunderstorms and variable convective activity that could either enhance nighttime radiative cooling through rain-cooled air or limit it via increased humidity and cloud insulation. Official guidance from the India Meteorological Department points to partly cloudy conditions with easterly winds around 10-15 km/h, supporting a baseline minimum near 26-28°C, yet small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could push readings lower or keep them elevated. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly, reflecting genuine forecast divergence typical in transitional monsoon periods where local moisture and steering patterns create high sensitivity in overnight lows. New model runs and IMD updates over the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the 26-28°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent monsoon surge forecasts and associated cloud cover uncertainty are the main drivers behind closely matched Polymarket odds for Lucknow's September 13 minimum temperature.** Eastern Uttar Pradesh remains under active monsoon influence, with models showing a 40-50% chance of thunderstorms and variable convective activity that could either enhance nighttime radiative cooling through rain-cooled air or limit it via increased humidity and cloud insulation. Official guidance from the India Meteorological Department points to partly cloudy conditions with easterly winds around 10-15 km/h, supporting a baseline minimum near 26-28°C, yet small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could push readings lower or keep them elevated. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly, reflecting genuine forecast divergence typical in transitional monsoon periods where local moisture and steering patterns create high sensitivity in overnight lows. New model runs and IMD updates over the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the 26-28°C range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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