Current forecast models, including GFS runs, point to Moscow's overnight low on September 19 around 8–11°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and minimal precipitation, with daytime highs near 16–20°C. This range aligns with typical mid-September climatology but carries uncertainty from variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling and potential shifts in steering patterns. Official monitoring emphasizes these near-term conditions over longer-range projections. The closely matched market probabilities on extremes versus mid-range outcomes reflect traders weighting model spread and resolution criteria around the precise daily minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 19 de septiembre?
3°C o menos 92%
13°C o más 92%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
3°C o menos
92%
4°C
10%
5°C
9%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
22%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
40%
12°C
18%
13°C o más
92%
3°C o menos 92%
13°C o más 92%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
3°C o menos
92%
4°C
10%
5°C
9%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
22%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
40%
12°C
18%
13°C o más
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including GFS runs, point to Moscow's overnight low on September 19 around 8–11°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and minimal precipitation, with daytime highs near 16–20°C. This range aligns with typical mid-September climatology but carries uncertainty from variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling and potential shifts in steering patterns. Official monitoring emphasizes these near-term conditions over longer-range projections. The closely matched market probabilities on extremes versus mid-range outcomes reflect traders weighting model spread and resolution criteria around the precise daily minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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