Recent forecast guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service points to overnight cooling in Munich amid a post-heatwave pattern, with model consensus favoring a minimum of 11–14 °C under variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers. This aligns with August climatology, where average lows near 12 °C and diurnal ranges of 9–11 °C are typical. Trader positioning on the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 44.5 % implied probability appears driven by uncertainty in the precise timing of any late-night clearing or localized radiational cooling at official stations, while the cluster of probabilities near 33–34 % for 12–15 °C outcomes reflects ongoing model spread and the market’s aggregation of skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 21 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 21 de agosto?
9°C or below 85%
12°C 35%
13°C 35%
15°C 34%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
9°C or below
85%
10°C
14%
11°C
14%
12°C
35%
13°C
35%
14°C
34%
15°C
34%
16°C
26%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C o más
<1%
9°C or below 85%
12°C 35%
13°C 35%
15°C 34%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
9°C or below
$92 Vol.
85%
10°C
$98 Vol.
14%
11°C
$92 Vol.
14%
12°C
$0 Vol.
35%
13°C
$0 Vol.
35%
14°C
$16 Vol.
34%
15°C
$0 Vol.
34%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
19°C o más
$169 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service points to overnight cooling in Munich amid a post-heatwave pattern, with model consensus favoring a minimum of 11–14 °C under variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers. This aligns with August climatology, where average lows near 12 °C and diurnal ranges of 9–11 °C are typical. Trader positioning on the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 44.5 % implied probability appears driven by uncertainty in the precise timing of any late-night clearing or localized radiational cooling at official stations, while the cluster of probabilities near 33–34 % for 12–15 °C outcomes reflects ongoing model spread and the market’s aggregation of skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volumen
$717Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service points to overnight cooling in Munich amid a post-heatwave pattern, with model consensus favoring a minimum of 11–14 °C under variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers. This aligns with August climatology, where average lows near 12 °C and diurnal ranges of 9–11 °C are typical. Trader positioning on the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 44.5 % implied probability appears driven by uncertainty in the precise timing of any late-night clearing or localized radiational cooling at official stations, while the cluster of probabilities near 33–34 % for 12–15 °C outcomes reflects ongoing model spread and the market’s aggregation of skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$717Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service points to overnight cooling in Munich amid a post-heatwave pattern, with model consensus favoring a minimum of 11–14 °C under variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers. This aligns with August climatology, where average lows near 12 °C and diurnal ranges of 9–11 °C are typical. Trader positioning on the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 44.5 % implied probability appears driven by uncertainty in the precise timing of any late-night clearing or localized radiational cooling at official stations, while the cluster of probabilities near 33–34 % for 12–15 °C outcomes reflects ongoing model spread and the market’s aggregation of skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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