Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the German Meteorological Service show a shift toward cooler overnight conditions in Munich driven by increased northerly flow and clearer skies under a building high-pressure ridge. These updates have boosted market-implied odds for the lowest temperature falling to 5°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of radiative cooling potential and reduced cloud cover compared with seasonal norms of 12–14°C lows. Key variables include precise timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects, with the next DWD ensemble release expected to refine minimum temperature guidance ahead of the August 23 observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 23 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 23 de agosto?
5°C or below 42%
8°C 21%
6°C 21%
7°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
5°C or below
42%
6°C
21%
7°C
20%
8°C
21%
9°C
15%
10°C
13%
11°C
7%
12°C
9%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
1%
5°C or below 42%
8°C 21%
6°C 21%
7°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
5°C or below
$0 Vol.
42%
6°C
$0 Vol.
21%
7°C
$0 Vol.
20%
8°C
$1 Vol.
21%
9°C
$0 Vol.
15%
10°C
$0 Vol.
13%
11°C
$0 Vol.
7%
12°C
$0 Vol.
9%
13°C
$22 Vol.
1%
14°C
$26 Vol.
1%
15°C or higher
$17 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the German Meteorological Service show a shift toward cooler overnight conditions in Munich driven by increased northerly flow and clearer skies under a building high-pressure ridge. These updates have boosted market-implied odds for the lowest temperature falling to 5°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of radiative cooling potential and reduced cloud cover compared with seasonal norms of 12–14°C lows. Key variables include precise timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects, with the next DWD ensemble release expected to refine minimum temperature guidance ahead of the August 23 observation window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$66Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the German Meteorological Service show a shift toward cooler overnight conditions in Munich driven by increased northerly flow and clearer skies under a building high-pressure ridge. These updates have boosted market-implied odds for the lowest temperature falling to 5°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of radiative cooling potential and reduced cloud cover compared with seasonal norms of 12–14°C lows. Key variables include precise timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects, with the next DWD ensemble release expected to refine minimum temperature guidance ahead of the August 23 observation window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$66Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the German Meteorological Service show a shift toward cooler overnight conditions in Munich driven by increased northerly flow and clearer skies under a building high-pressure ridge. These updates have boosted market-implied odds for the lowest temperature falling to 5°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of radiative cooling potential and reduced cloud cover compared with seasonal norms of 12–14°C lows. Key variables include precise timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects, with the next DWD ensemble release expected to refine minimum temperature guidance ahead of the August 23 observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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