Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 29 de abril?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 29 de abril?
9°C 100.0%
4°C o menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$19,337 Vol.
$19,337 Vol.
29 abr 2026
4°C o menos
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Sí
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C o más
No
9°C 100.0%
4°C o menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$19,337 Vol.
$19,337 Vol.
29 abr 2026
4°C o menos
$527 Vol.
No
5°C
$384 Vol.
No
6°C
$548 Vol.
No
7°C
$3,185 Vol.
No
8°C
$3,977 Vol.
No
9°C
$4,768 Vol.
Sí
10°C
$2,178 Vol.
No
11°C
$200 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,291 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,022 Vol.
No
14°C o más
$1,256 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$19,337Fecha de finalización
29 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$19,337Fecha de finalización
29 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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