**Trader consensus centers on a 24–25°C overnight low for Seoul/Incheon on August 15, reflecting current KMA short-range guidance and late-summer climatology.** Mid-August nocturnal temperatures in the region are shaped by persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak steering flow that limits rapid radiational cooling. Recent KMA forecasts for the 15th show a minimum near 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and a 20–30% chance of showers, while nearby days have run 24–26°C. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (47.5%) and 24°C (34%), as any slight increase in cloud cover or moisture would suppress the low into the mid-20s. Longer-range August averages place typical overnight lows at 22–23°C, yet the ongoing warm, humid airmass and lack of a strong frontal passage keep probabilities for sub-24°C outcomes very low. Updated model runs or a clearer sky overnight on the 14th–15th remain the key variables that could shift sentiment before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 15 de agosto?
25°C 48%
24°C 34%
26°C 21%
23°C 2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
34%
25°C
48%
26°C
21%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
25°C 48%
24°C 34%
26°C 21%
23°C 2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
20°C o menos
$335 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$409 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$591 Vol.
2%
24°C
$2,244 Vol.
34%
25°C
$1,907 Vol.
48%
26°C
$1,028 Vol.
21%
27°C
$509 Vol.
2%
28°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
30°C o más
$342 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 24–25°C overnight low for Seoul/Incheon on August 15, reflecting current KMA short-range guidance and late-summer climatology.**
Mid-August nocturnal temperatures in the region are shaped by persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak steering flow that limits rapid radiational cooling. Recent KMA forecasts for the 15th show a minimum near 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and a 20–30% chance of showers, while nearby days have run 24–26°C. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (47.5%) and 24°C (34%), as any slight increase in cloud cover or moisture would suppress the low into the mid-20s.
Longer-range August averages place typical overnight lows at 22–23°C, yet the ongoing warm, humid airmass and lack of a strong frontal passage keep probabilities for sub-24°C outcomes very low. Updated model runs or a clearer sky overnight on the 14th–15th remain the key variables that could shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$8,314Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 24–25°C overnight low for Seoul/Incheon on August 15, reflecting current KMA short-range guidance and late-summer climatology.**
Mid-August nocturnal temperatures in the region are shaped by persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak steering flow that limits rapid radiational cooling. Recent KMA forecasts for the 15th show a minimum near 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and a 20–30% chance of showers, while nearby days have run 24–26°C. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (47.5%) and 24°C (34%), as any slight increase in cloud cover or moisture would suppress the low into the mid-20s.
Longer-range August averages place typical overnight lows at 22–23°C, yet the ongoing warm, humid airmass and lack of a strong frontal passage keep probabilities for sub-24°C outcomes very low. Updated model runs or a clearer sky overnight on the 14th–15th remain the key variables that could shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,314Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 24–25°C overnight low for Seoul/Incheon on August 15, reflecting current KMA short-range guidance and late-summer climatology.** Mid-August nocturnal temperatures in the region are shaped by persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak steering flow that limits rapid radiational cooling. Recent KMA forecasts for the 15th show a minimum near 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and a 20–30% chance of showers, while nearby days have run 24–26°C. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (47.5%) and 24°C (34%), as any slight increase in cloud cover or moisture would suppress the low into the mid-20s. Longer-range August averages place typical overnight lows at 22–23°C, yet the ongoing warm, humid airmass and lack of a strong frontal passage keep probabilities for sub-24°C outcomes very low. Updated model runs or a clearer sky overnight on the 14th–15th remain the key variables that could shift sentiment before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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