Persistent heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Taipei on September 4, 2026, have moderated temperatures by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling, with official forecasts from sources like the Central Weather Administration and international models centering the daily minimum near 24–26°C amid high humidity and light variable winds. This atmospheric setup explains the strong market-implied odds favoring 25°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of consistent observational trends and limited diurnal range, while the notable probability on 22°C accounts for potential underestimation in some model runs if localized showers intensify overnight. Resolution hinges on the final verified low from authoritative stations, with minimal scope for extremes given the stable synoptic pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Taipéi el 4 de septiembre?
22°C 87%
21°C o menos 4%
24°C 3%
23°C 2%
21°C o menos
4%
22°C
87%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
52%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
22°C 87%
21°C o menos 4%
24°C 3%
23°C 2%
21°C o menos
4%
22°C
87%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
52%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Taipei on September 4, 2026, have moderated temperatures by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling, with official forecasts from sources like the Central Weather Administration and international models centering the daily minimum near 24–26°C amid high humidity and light variable winds. This atmospheric setup explains the strong market-implied odds favoring 25°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of consistent observational trends and limited diurnal range, while the notable probability on 22°C accounts for potential underestimation in some model runs if localized showers intensify overnight. Resolution hinges on the final verified low from authoritative stations, with minimal scope for extremes given the stable synoptic pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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