Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo's August 23 overnight low centered between 24–25 °C, directly supporting the leading market-implied odds of 40.5 % for 25 °C and 33.5 % for 24 °C. The narrow spread reflects modest radiative cooling under expected partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with small differences in humidity and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the minimum settles at 24 °C or 25 °C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours could shift these probabilities if cloud cover or wind speed deviates from current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 23 de agosto?
25°C 43%
24°C 35%
23°C 10%
26°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
7%
23°C
10%
24°C
35%
25°C
43%
26°C
9%
27°C
5%
28°C
4%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 43%
24°C 35%
23°C 10%
26°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
21°C
$5 Vol.
7%
22°C
$0 Vol.
7%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C
$4 Vol.
35%
25°C
$0 Vol.
43%
26°C
$0 Vol.
9%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C
$20 Vol.
4%
29°C
$25 Vol.
5%
30°C or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo's August 23 overnight low centered between 24–25 °C, directly supporting the leading market-implied odds of 40.5 % for 25 °C and 33.5 % for 24 °C. The narrow spread reflects modest radiative cooling under expected partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with small differences in humidity and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the minimum settles at 24 °C or 25 °C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours could shift these probabilities if cloud cover or wind speed deviates from current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$84Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo's August 23 overnight low centered between 24–25 °C, directly supporting the leading market-implied odds of 40.5 % for 25 °C and 33.5 % for 24 °C. The narrow spread reflects modest radiative cooling under expected partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with small differences in humidity and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the minimum settles at 24 °C or 25 °C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours could shift these probabilities if cloud cover or wind speed deviates from current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$84Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo's August 23 overnight low centered between 24–25 °C, directly supporting the leading market-implied odds of 40.5 % for 25 °C and 33.5 % for 24 °C. The narrow spread reflects modest radiative cooling under expected partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with small differences in humidity and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the minimum settles at 24 °C or 25 °C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours could shift these probabilities if cloud cover or wind speed deviates from current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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