**Trader consensus on an 8–9°C minimum for Warsaw on September 12 reflects the narrow spread between numerical weather prediction outputs for the overnight radiative cooling period.** Light winds under 3 m/s and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight permitted efficient longwave radiation loss from the surface, with dew points near 8–10°C limiting further drops. Model runs show subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island retention, producing minimums clustered at the 8–9°C threshold rather than the 7°C or 10°C+ alternatives. Official observations from Chopin Airport and city stations, combined with the final 00–06 UTC window, will determine resolution, as even a 1°C variance in recorded low distinguishes the leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 12 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 12 de septiembre?
7°C o menos <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$1,204 Vol.
$1,204 Vol.
12 sep 2026
7°C o menos
No
8°C
No
9°C
Sí
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C o más
No
7°C o menos <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$1,204 Vol.
$1,204 Vol.
12 sep 2026
7°C o menos
$39 Vol.
No
8°C
$7 Vol.
No
9°C
$234 Vol.
Sí
10°C
$236 Vol.
No
11°C
$213 Vol.
No
12°C
$366 Vol.
No
13°C
$22 Vol.
No
14°C
$22 Vol.
No
15°C
$22 Vol.
No
16°C
$22 Vol.
No
17°C o más
$22 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on an 8–9°C minimum for Warsaw on September 12 reflects the narrow spread between numerical weather prediction outputs for the overnight radiative cooling period.** Light winds under 3 m/s and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight permitted efficient longwave radiation loss from the surface, with dew points near 8–10°C limiting further drops. Model runs show subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island retention, producing minimums clustered at the 8–9°C threshold rather than the 7°C or 10°C+ alternatives. Official observations from Chopin Airport and city stations, combined with the final 00–06 UTC window, will determine resolution, as even a 1°C variance in recorded low distinguishes the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,204Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on an 8–9°C minimum for Warsaw on September 12 reflects the narrow spread between numerical weather prediction outputs for the overnight radiative cooling period.** Light winds under 3 m/s and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight permitted efficient longwave radiation loss from the surface, with dew points near 8–10°C limiting further drops. Model runs show subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island retention, producing minimums clustered at the 8–9°C threshold rather than the 7°C or 10°C+ alternatives. Official observations from Chopin Airport and city stations, combined with the final 00–06 UTC window, will determine resolution, as even a 1°C variance in recorded low distinguishes the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,204Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Trader consensus on an 8–9°C minimum for Warsaw on September 12 reflects the narrow spread between numerical weather prediction outputs for the overnight radiative cooling period.** Light winds under 3 m/s and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight permitted efficient longwave radiation loss from the surface, with dew points near 8–10°C limiting further drops. Model runs show subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island retention, producing minimums clustered at the 8–9°C threshold rather than the 7°C or 10°C+ alternatives. Official observations from Chopin Airport and city stations, combined with the final 00–06 UTC window, will determine resolution, as even a 1°C variance in recorded low distinguishes the leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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