Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, where he faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock following the June primaries. The district’s partisan lean—reflected in a 13-point Trump margin in the prior presidential contest and a slight Republican edge in voter registration—underpins trader consensus, reinforced by Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating and 2025 polling showing Van Drew ahead of a generic Democrat. No significant shifts from fundraising, endorsements, or campaign events have altered this outlook in recent weeks, with the seat viewed as safely held by the GOP barring an unusually strong national Democratic wave.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NJ-02
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NJ-02
$24,488 Vol.
$24,488 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
82%
Partido Demócrata
14%
$24,488 Vol.
$24,488 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$12,510 Vol.
82%
Partido Demócrata
$11,978 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, where he faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock following the June primaries. The district’s partisan lean—reflected in a 13-point Trump margin in the prior presidential contest and a slight Republican edge in voter registration—underpins trader consensus, reinforced by Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating and 2025 polling showing Van Drew ahead of a generic Democrat. No significant shifts from fundraising, endorsements, or campaign events have altered this outlook in recent weeks, with the seat viewed as safely held by the GOP barring an unusually strong national Democratic wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$24,488Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, where he faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock following the June primaries. The district’s partisan lean—reflected in a 13-point Trump margin in the prior presidential contest and a slight Republican edge in voter registration—underpins trader consensus, reinforced by Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating and 2025 polling showing Van Drew ahead of a generic Democrat. No significant shifts from fundraising, endorsements, or campaign events have altered this outlook in recent weeks, with the seat viewed as safely held by the GOP barring an unusually strong national Democratic wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$24,488Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, where he faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock following the June primaries. The district’s partisan lean—reflected in a 13-point Trump margin in the prior presidential contest and a slight Republican edge in voter registration—underpins trader consensus, reinforced by Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating and 2025 polling showing Van Drew ahead of a generic Democrat. No significant shifts from fundraising, endorsements, or campaign events have altered this outlook in recent weeks, with the seat viewed as safely held by the GOP barring an unusually strong national Democratic wave.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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