Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Enrique Leaño as the frontrunner for Sucre's mayoral election in Bolivia, with implied probabilities reflecting his consistent double-digit lead in recent polls from local firms like Ciesmori and Datum, where he garners 40-50% support amid fragmented opposition. Cristian Sanabria trails as the main challenger at around 19%, buoyed by evangelical voter outreach but hampered by lower name recognition. Key drivers include Leaño's incumbency advantages from prior council roles, strong departmental party machinery in Chuquisaca, and recent campaign momentum from public infrastructure pledges. No major shifts from debates or endorsements have altered trajectories, though voter turnout in upcoming municipal races could influence outcomes; watch final pre-election surveys.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Sucre (Bolivia)
Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Sucre (Bolivia)
Enrique Leaño 48.4%
Cristian Sanabria 6%
Juan Antonio Jesús 5.3%
Horacio Poppe 3.1%
$23,834 Vol.
$23,834 Vol.

Enrique Leaño
48%

Cristian Sanabria
17%

Juan Antonio Jesús
5%

Horacio Poppe
3%

Erick Marcelo Pedrazas López
3%

Richard Moscoso
3%

Wilber Chocamani
2%

Pablo Arízaga
11%

Franz Tata García
1%

Cecilia Calani
1%

Fátima Tardío
1%

Hebert Marcelo Terrazas
6%
Enrique Leaño 48.4%
Cristian Sanabria 6%
Juan Antonio Jesús 5.3%
Horacio Poppe 3.1%
$23,834 Vol.
$23,834 Vol.

Enrique Leaño
48%

Cristian Sanabria
17%

Juan Antonio Jesús
5%

Horacio Poppe
3%

Erick Marcelo Pedrazas López
3%

Richard Moscoso
3%

Wilber Chocamani
2%

Pablo Arízaga
11%

Franz Tata García
1%

Cecilia Calani
1%

Fátima Tardío
1%

Hebert Marcelo Terrazas
6%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Enrique Leaño as the frontrunner for Sucre's mayoral election in Bolivia, with implied probabilities reflecting his consistent double-digit lead in recent polls from local firms like Ciesmori and Datum, where he garners 40-50% support amid fragmented opposition. Cristian Sanabria trails as the main challenger at around 19%, buoyed by evangelical voter outreach but hampered by lower name recognition. Key drivers include Leaño's incumbency advantages from prior council roles, strong departmental party machinery in Chuquisaca, and recent campaign momentum from public infrastructure pledges. No major shifts from debates or endorsements have altered trajectories, though voter turnout in upcoming municipal races could influence outcomes; watch final pre-election surveys.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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