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Tech·App Store

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
Tech·App Store

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?

Ended: Apr 28

Sep 4

Ended: Apr 28

Sep 4

ChatGPT 100.0%

Claude by Anthropic <1%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses <1%

Google Gemini <1%

Polymarket

$14,120 Vol.

ChatGPT 100.0%

Claude by Anthropic <1%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses <1%

Google Gemini <1%

Polymarket

$14,120 Vol.

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$5,558 Vol.

Yes

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$3,440 Vol.

No

icon for Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$732 Vol.

No

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$150 Vol.

No

icon for Google

Google

$505 Vol.

No

icon for Threads

Threads

$1,261 Vol.

No

icon for Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

$441 Vol.

No

icon for TurboTax: File Your Tax Return

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return

$446 Vol.

No

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$1,588 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT's dominance as the leading free app on the US Apple App Store, with traders assigning it a 100% implied probability for April 28, stems from its current #1 ranking on real-time iPhone charts, ahead of rivals like Claude by Anthropic and Google Gemini. This positioning reflects sustained user adoption of OpenAI's AI chatbot app, bolstered by ongoing enhancements in large language model capabilities, image generation, and cross-device sync, which have reclaimed the top spot after brief challenges from competitors earlier in 2026. The app's sticky engagement in productivity and search outpaces social or gaming alternatives. While resolution hinges on end-of-day charts, realistic challengers include a surprise viral update from Meta AI or Claude, or abrupt shifts in App Store algorithms, though trader capital shows strong conviction in stability.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$14,120
End Date
Apr 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT's dominance as the leading free app on the US Apple App Store, with traders assigning it a 100% implied probability for April 28, stems from its current #1 ranking on real-time iPhone charts, ahead of rivals like Claude by Anthropic and Google Gemini. This positioning reflects sustained user adoption of OpenAI's AI chatbot app, bolstered by ongoing enhancements in large language model capabilities, image generation, and cross-device sync, which have reclaimed the top spot after brief challenges from competitors earlier in 2026. The app's sticky engagement in productivity and search outpaces social or gaming alternatives. While resolution hinges on end-of-day charts, realistic challengers include a surprise viral update from Meta AI or Claude, or abrupt shifts in App Store algorithms, though trader capital shows strong conviction in stability.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$14,120
End Date
Apr 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 100%, followed by "Claude by Anthropic" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?" has generated $14.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?" is "ChatGPT" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Claude by Anthropic" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.