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Humanoid predictions & odds

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Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

2%

June 30

$87.5K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

12

Ends in 8 months

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

80%

200,000+

$57.8K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

How long will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure?

How long will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure?

38%

200h+

$17.7K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

97%

OpenAI

$26.2K Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

68%

Anthropic

$54.2K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

100%

Galions

$636K Vol.

$616K today

$3.1K Liq.

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

72%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

125

Ends in about 2 months

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

5%

$2.6K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

41%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

7%

June 30

$367K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

19

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

31%

3

$16.0K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 16 days

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

88%

600B+

$298K Vol.

$68.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

100%

Fnatic

$1M Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

99%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$133K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

70%

Natus Vincere

$34.3K Vol.

$221K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

54%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

33

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

50%

$186K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

74

Ends in 8 months

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

36%

1.8T+

$45.3K Vol.

$31.6K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

88%

$62.7K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

14

Ends in 8 months

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

100%

Natus Vincere

$570K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Humanoid.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Humanoid that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 72% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Humanoid predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.