Traders see Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 variants leading the June 13 snapshot because the model family holds the highest scores on key coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified at 80.8 percent, with the "thinking" mode adding extended reasoning chains that improve performance on complex, multi-step tasks. Recent April and May releases of Opus 4.7 and 4.8 delivered measurable gains in agentic coding and instruction following, reinforcing the series' edge over Gemini 3.1 Pro despite the latter's strength on reasoning metrics like GPQA. Low probabilities for Gemini entries reflect narrower leads in those specific areas and the market's focus on demonstrated capabilities rather than marketing claims. With the resolution date only days away, any last-minute benchmark updates or new model drops could still shift the close contest among the top Claude options.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअन्य 42%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking 22%
claude-opus-4-6 14%
gemini-3.5-flash 6.5%
नया
नया
13 जून, 2026
अन्य
42%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
22%
claude-opus-4-6
14%
gemini-3.5-flash
6%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
2%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
44%
अन्य 42%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking 22%
claude-opus-4-6 14%
gemini-3.5-flash 6.5%
नया
नया
13 जून, 2026
अन्य
$55 वॉल्यूम
42%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
$103 वॉल्यूम
22%
claude-opus-4-6
$63 वॉल्यूम
14%
gemini-3.5-flash
$337 वॉल्यूम
6%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
$204 वॉल्यूम
2%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$10 वॉल्यूम
44%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders see Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 variants leading the June 13 snapshot because the model family holds the highest scores on key coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified at 80.8 percent, with the "thinking" mode adding extended reasoning chains that improve performance on complex, multi-step tasks. Recent April and May releases of Opus 4.7 and 4.8 delivered measurable gains in agentic coding and instruction following, reinforcing the series' edge over Gemini 3.1 Pro despite the latter's strength on reasoning metrics like GPQA. Low probabilities for Gemini entries reflect narrower leads in those specific areas and the market's focus on demonstrated capabilities rather than marketing claims. With the resolution date only days away, any last-minute benchmark updates or new model drops could still shift the close contest among the top Claude options.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 5, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$709समाप्ति तिथि
13 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 5, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders see Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 variants leading the June 13 snapshot because the model family holds the highest scores on key coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified at 80.8 percent, with the "thinking" mode adding extended reasoning chains that improve performance on complex, multi-step tasks. Recent April and May releases of Opus 4.7 and 4.8 delivered measurable gains in agentic coding and instruction following, reinforcing the series' edge over Gemini 3.1 Pro despite the latter's strength on reasoning metrics like GPQA. Low probabilities for Gemini entries reflect narrower leads in those specific areas and the market's focus on demonstrated capabilities rather than marketing claims. With the resolution date only days away, any last-minute benchmark updates or new model drops could still shift the close contest among the top Claude options.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$709समाप्ति तिथि
13 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 5, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 variants leading the June 13 snapshot because the model family holds the highest scores on key coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified at 80.8 percent, with the "thinking" mode adding extended reasoning chains that improve performance on complex, multi-step tasks. Recent April and May releases of Opus 4.7 and 4.8 delivered measurable gains in agentic coding and instruction following, reinforcing the series' edge over Gemini 3.1 Pro despite the latter's strength on reasoning metrics like GPQA. Low probabilities for Gemini entries reflect narrower leads in those specific areas and the market's focus on demonstrated capabilities rather than marketing claims. With the resolution date only days away, any last-minute benchmark updates or new model drops could still shift the close contest among the top Claude options.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न