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icon for California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

icon for California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

Steve Hilton 100.0%

Chad Bianco 1.6%

Katie Porter <1%

Tom Steyer <1%

Polymarket

$6,600 Vol.

Steve Hilton 100.0%

Chad Bianco 1.6%

Katie Porter <1%

Tom Steyer <1%

Polymarket

$6,600 Vol.

Xavier Becerra

$952 Vol.

No

Antonio Villaraigosa

$598 Vol.

No

Katie Porter

$427 Vol.

No

Tony Thurmond

$303 Vol.

No

Matt Mahan

$218 Vol.

No

Tom Steyer

$342 Vol.

No

Chad Bianco

$1,350 Vol.

No

Steve Hilton

$2,411 Vol.

Yes

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.**Steve Hilton secured a dominant position in the Orange County portion of California's June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary due to strong Republican consolidation around the Trump-endorsed candidate.** Orange County’s voter base favored the former Fox News host and UK political adviser, who outperformed other Republicans such as Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco and limited Democratic crossover. Katie Porter’s local congressional roots and visibility among Democrats did not translate into countywide primacy amid a fragmented Democratic field that included Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and others. Statewide results showed Hilton advancing comfortably to face Becerra in November, reflecting similar dynamics locally where Republican turnout and preference alignment boosted his share. Late provisional or mail ballots remain subject to final canvass, though historical patterns and current margins make significant shifts improbable.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$6,600
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.**Steve Hilton secured a dominant position in the Orange County portion of California's June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary due to strong Republican consolidation around the Trump-endorsed candidate.** Orange County’s voter base favored the former Fox News host and UK political adviser, who outperformed other Republicans such as Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco and limited Democratic crossover. Katie Porter’s local congressional roots and visibility among Democrats did not translate into countywide primacy amid a fragmented Democratic field that included Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and others. Statewide results showed Hilton advancing comfortably to face Becerra in November, reflecting similar dynamics locally where Republican turnout and preference alignment boosted his share. Late provisional or mail ballots remain subject to final canvass, though historical patterns and current margins make significant shifts improbable.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$6,600
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Steve Hilton" at 100%, followed by "Xavier Becerra" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner" is "Steve Hilton" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Xavier Becerra" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.