OpenAI's ChatGPT has faced multiple partial outages in recent weeks, including a brief two-hour web disruption on April 6 with blank responses, dictation errors on April 2, and SSO access issues on April 7 for Enterprise users, driving trader sentiment toward elevated outage risk despite 99.85% uptime claims. These incidents follow a major February login failure and coincide with surging demand from new interactive math and science features rolled out March 10, straining infrastructure even as OpenAI announces massive $122 billion funding for scaling and PostgreSQL optimizations in January. Competitive pressures intensify with similar downtimes at rivals like DeepSeek, while no major releases loom; traders eye sustained high usage as the key swing factor for near-term reliability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNEW
Apr 10, 2026
April 10
23%
April 17
62%
$1,066 Vol.
April 10
$341 Vol.
23%
April 17
$725 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT has faced multiple partial outages in recent weeks, including a brief two-hour web disruption on April 6 with blank responses, dictation errors on April 2, and SSO access issues on April 7 for Enterprise users, driving trader sentiment toward elevated outage risk despite 99.85% uptime claims. These incidents follow a major February login failure and coincide with surging demand from new interactive math and science features rolled out March 10, straining infrastructure even as OpenAI announces massive $122 billion funding for scaling and PostgreSQL optimizations in January. Competitive pressures intensify with similar downtimes at rivals like DeepSeek, while no major releases loom; traders eye sustained high usage as the key swing factor for near-term reliability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$1,066End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT has faced multiple partial outages in recent weeks, including a brief two-hour web disruption on April 6 with blank responses, dictation errors on April 2, and SSO access issues on April 7 for Enterprise users, driving trader sentiment toward elevated outage risk despite 99.85% uptime claims. These incidents follow a major February login failure and coincide with surging demand from new interactive math and science features rolled out March 10, straining infrastructure even as OpenAI announces massive $122 billion funding for scaling and PostgreSQL optimizations in January. Competitive pressures intensify with similar downtimes at rivals like DeepSeek, while no major releases loom; traders eye sustained high usage as the key swing factor for near-term reliability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,066End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's ChatGPT has faced multiple partial outages in recent weeks, including a brief two-hour web disruption on April 6 with blank responses, dictation errors on April 2, and SSO access issues on April 7 for Enterprise users, driving trader sentiment toward elevated outage risk despite 99.85% uptime claims. These incidents follow a major February login failure and coincide with surging demand from new interactive math and science features rolled out March 10, straining infrastructure even as OpenAI announces massive $122 billion funding for scaling and PostgreSQL optimizations in January. Competitive pressures intensify with similar downtimes at rivals like DeepSeek, while no major releases loom; traders eye sustained high usage as the key swing factor for near-term reliability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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