Cilia Flores, wife of ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention in Brooklyn since their January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face drug trafficking charges in Manhattan federal court, where they pleaded not guilty; a judge set their joint trial for June 2027 after rejecting early dismissal attempts based on sovereign immunity claims. No bail motions have been filed. Trader focus on possible release centers on unconfirmed speculation about U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic negotiations that could produce a negotiated outcome before year-end, though no official statements or procedural shifts have confirmed such developments as of mid-August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
$1,375,002 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
December 31
16%
$1,375,002 Vol.
December 31
$328,401 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores, wife of ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention in Brooklyn since their January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face drug trafficking charges in Manhattan federal court, where they pleaded not guilty; a judge set their joint trial for June 2027 after rejecting early dismissal attempts based on sovereign immunity claims. No bail motions have been filed. Trader focus on possible release centers on unconfirmed speculation about U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic negotiations that could produce a negotiated outcome before year-end, though no official statements or procedural shifts have confirmed such developments as of mid-August.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$1,375,002End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores, wife of ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention in Brooklyn since their January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face drug trafficking charges in Manhattan federal court, where they pleaded not guilty; a judge set their joint trial for June 2027 after rejecting early dismissal attempts based on sovereign immunity claims. No bail motions have been filed. Trader focus on possible release centers on unconfirmed speculation about U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic negotiations that could produce a negotiated outcome before year-end, though no official statements or procedural shifts have confirmed such developments as of mid-August.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,375,002End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores, wife of ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention in Brooklyn since their January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face drug trafficking charges in Manhattan federal court, where they pleaded not guilty; a judge set their joint trial for June 2027 after rejecting early dismissal attempts based on sovereign immunity claims. No bail motions have been filed. Trader focus on possible release centers on unconfirmed speculation about U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic negotiations that could produce a negotiated outcome before year-end, though no official statements or procedural shifts have confirmed such developments as of mid-August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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