Incumbent Rep. Jeff Hurd commands trader consensus at 97% implied probability for the CO-03 Republican primary on June 30, driven by his superior fundraising with nearly $2 million cash on hand as of late March, President Trump's re-endorsement in March after a brief withdrawal, and prior 2024 primary win over challenger Ron Hanks. Hope Scheppelman withdrew in March following Trump's intervention, leaving minimal competition despite her residual market pricing. Recent grassroots attacks on Hurd's votes against tariff protections, pesticide liability shields, and censuring Rep. Ilhan Omar have fueled Hanks' late-April rematch bid, but absent polls or fundraising gains, Hurd's incumbency and resources dominate. Upsets would require a scandal, endorsement reversal, or high challenger turnout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-03 Republican Primary Winner
CO-03 Republican Primary Winner
Jeff Hurd
97%
Hope Scheppelman
3%
Jeff Hurd
97%
Hope Scheppelman
3%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Jeff Hurd commands trader consensus at 97% implied probability for the CO-03 Republican primary on June 30, driven by his superior fundraising with nearly $2 million cash on hand as of late March, President Trump's re-endorsement in March after a brief withdrawal, and prior 2024 primary win over challenger Ron Hanks. Hope Scheppelman withdrew in March following Trump's intervention, leaving minimal competition despite her residual market pricing. Recent grassroots attacks on Hurd's votes against tariff protections, pesticide liability shields, and censuring Rep. Ilhan Omar have fueled Hanks' late-April rematch bid, but absent polls or fundraising gains, Hurd's incumbency and resources dominate. Upsets would require a scandal, endorsement reversal, or high challenger turnout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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