Official KNMI observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid periods of sun but persistent cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late April in Amsterdam, where average highs hover around 13–15°C based on 30-year normals, and recent model guidance from ECMWF and national forecasts had projected peaks near 15–16°C. Scenarios that could challenge this include a rare post-verification data revision from quality-controlled hourly readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon after initial publication.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 24?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 24?
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$91,279 Vol.
$91,279 Vol.
Apr 24, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$91,279 Vol.
$91,279 Vol.
Apr 24, 2026
10°C or below
$13,132 Vol.
No
11°C
$7,034 Vol.
No
12°C
$5,252 Vol.
No
13°C
$8,646 Vol.
No
14°C
$10,539 Vol.
No
15°C
$12,242 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$8,674 Vol.
No
17°C
$11,049 Vol.
No
18°C
$8,120 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,742 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$1,850 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid periods of sun but persistent cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late April in Amsterdam, where average highs hover around 13–15°C based on 30-year normals, and recent model guidance from ECMWF and national forecasts had projected peaks near 15–16°C. Scenarios that could challenge this include a rare post-verification data revision from quality-controlled hourly readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon after initial publication.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$91,279End Date
Apr 24, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid periods of sun but persistent cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late April in Amsterdam, where average highs hover around 13–15°C based on 30-year normals, and recent model guidance from ECMWF and national forecasts had projected peaks near 15–16°C. Scenarios that could challenge this include a rare post-verification data revision from quality-controlled hourly readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon after initial publication.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$91,279End Date
Apr 24, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official KNMI observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid periods of sun but persistent cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late April in Amsterdam, where average highs hover around 13–15°C based on 30-year normals, and recent model guidance from ECMWF and national forecasts had projected peaks near 15–16°C. Scenarios that could challenge this include a rare post-verification data revision from quality-controlled hourly readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon after initial publication.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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